When browsing the information on Democratic Party internal politics, you'll read all sorts of things about Neal Kwatra, the Chair of the San Diego County Democratic Party. Some say that he has"no political experience" while others praise his"activism." But were you aware that Neal Kwatra is a specialist on Democratic Politics? Yes, that is right; he's a political science professor at California State University-Campus Neal Kwatra. This should come as no surprise to those who have been paying attention to Democratic politics at San Diego for any amount of time.
In fact, there are some very sharp people at CSU-Campus who have some very smart thoughts. A number of these bright folks are working on a new study of the way to raise money. If you've been paying attention to this past few remember elections in California, you probably know that we have become a money-spinning state. That's not a good thing for our state as a whole. However, that is the fact we are faced with. Therefore, it's wise to ask some questions.
Recently, Kwatra Developed a Fascinating study entitled"The Democratic Main Procedure and the Effect of the National Convention on the Winner." In this study he looks carefully at the Democratic National Convention, its impact on the candidates and the voters that electing them, and then he contrasts this to the outcome of the same race a year before. The study specifically examines the California primary. There's no doubt that Hillary Clinton won the California first and she will be the next president of the United States. But why did Hillary Clinton win over Obama from the principal election?
What's the key to her overwhelming victory? In one word it's delegates. As a political science professor I can tell you what the actual secret is and you may not like what I say. The actual secret is that Hillary Clinton had a better than expected turnout because of her overwhelming popularity among the Democratic base. The Democrats do not rely on marriage voters anymore; they outnumber all the other groups that vote in the Democratic primary.
Obama was also overwhelmed by the huge number of new voters registered during the last few days before the election. Many of these new voters stayed home on election day because they didn't need to vote for Hillary Clinton or Obama. This is their only option. Not only did Obama possess a high number of Republicans, but he also had many older voters that chose not to vote for him. This generated a very large gap in the Democratic main vote.
With such a major lead in the pledged delegates, Hillary Clinton will need to procure her lead to the popular vote and any one of the rest of the states to become the Democratic nominee. It appears as though with her powerful lead in the vote, she has secured the Democratic nomination. Despite the lead in the pledged delegates, she has a long way to go to win the democratic nomination.