Gartner's Hype Cycle plots technologies' fortunes, asserting that after birth they ascend to a peak of inflated expectations before descending into a trough of disillusionment.

The market eventually figures out what a technology is really good for and it ascends a slope of enlightenment before reaching the plateau of productivity upon which mainstream organisations sit comfortably while reaping the rewards of a mature idea.

Raskino reckons that model doesn't apply to Brexit because it's a case of negative hype, but does think the hype cycle thinking applies.

So he inverted the hype cycle to look like this.

Where HERE equals take your best guess

In Raskino's take on Brexit things start as market hysteria gets very bad – the effect of social contagion and press amplification.

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