Us fresh president Donald Trump has attacked the fresh support for the measure the opinion polls by saying they're fake news.the CNN/ORC International announced Friday opinion poll, according to which Trump has the lowest approval ratings of previous presidents.Trump's support is 44%, told the Independent. All the negative polls are fake news, just like CNN's, ABC's, NBC's polls in the election.I'm Sorry but, people want border security, as well as extreme background checks.Any negative polls are fake news, just like the CNN, ABC, NBC polls in the election.
Before a Commons battle over the investigatory powers bill this week, the poll found that 92% of respondents who were aware of the proposals – described as a snooper s charter by critics – disapproved of them.The two-day Commons report stage of the bill, which will increase the powers of the intelligence services, is scheduled for tomorrow and Tuesday and is the final major piece of parliamentary business before the EU referendum is held.On Thursday the home secretary, Theresa May, announced a series of concessions in an attempt to woo Labour and Liberal Democrat critics, whose alliance with backbench Tory opponents mean the government cannot rely on its slim Commons majority.May s fresh safeguards include the introduction of a privacy clause meant to ensure that the new mass-surveillance powers are not authorised in cases where other, less intrusive, means could be used.The snooper s charter would compel telecoms companies and internet service providers to store every person s communications data, including records of calls, texts, emails and their entire internet browsing history for a year.Critics say that it is only justifiable for the government to monitor emails, texts, phone calls and online browsing history if a particular individual is suspected of criminality or has committed a crime.
Four years ago, when they both worked for President Obama s reelection campaign, they helped narrowly avoid an expensive debacle in the Great Lakes State by convincing their team to completely ignore the public polls.By night s end, the analytics team proved to be precisely correct—Obama won by the Cave s predicted 126 electoral votes.Limited time and money force candidates to coldly focus on what works.If Hispanic voters turn out in droves to oppose Trump s immigration rhetoric, Clinton will be able to pick off traditional battleground states like Nevada and Florida.On the other hand, Trump, whose voters are overwhelmingly white, must win in traditionally Democratic rust-belt states like Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin.More broadly, Civis work is uncovering an uncomfortable truth for many horse-race pollsters: Public opinion just isn t that dynamic.
Google I/O: Android N touts new performance features and integration with VRAlphabet owned-Google has announced that the results of the NameAndroidN campaign, which it launched at Google I/O 2016 to help the company decide on a sweet treat name for the Android N OS, will soon be out.The company took to Twitter to thank the public at large for their overwhelming response.In March 2016, without any prior hint or event, the company declared on its blog that it had unveiled the preview build for Android N and would release updated previews every month until July 2016 when the final testing phase will be over.Curiosity still remained on the name of the OS.In past years, Android variants have rolled out with names based on desserts and sweet treats from Cupcake v1.5 to Jelly Bean 4.3 to KitKat 4.4 to Lollipop 5.0 and finally, the Android Marshmallow 6.0 last year.At the Google I/O 2016, the company formally announced that Android N would indeed get its name from suggestions sent by the public, kicking off the NameAndroidN campaign.
NEW YORK -- Global stocks are surging Monday morning as investors grow more hopeful that Britain will remain in the European Union.The Standard & Poor's 500 index rose 27 points, or 1.3 percent, to 2,098.BANKS BREAK OUT: Bond prices dropped as investors moved money out of ultra-safe assets.General Electric rose 45 cents, or 1.5 percent, to $31.05 while aerospace company Boeing added $3.61, or 2.8 percent, to $133.43 and Honeywell advanced $2.08, or 1.8 percent, to $118.ALL THAT GLITTERS: Gold prices have rallied recently but lost almost 1 percent Monday morning.CURRENCIES: The dollar rose to 104.48 yen from 104.23 yen and the euro rose to $1.1347 from $1.1275.
Cognovi Labs is a new analytics startup that relies on Twitris, a Wright State University-developed tool that claims to be able to take a sample of social media chatter about a specific topic and deduce real-time, large-scale, automated sentiment about the specific topic they are researching.The machine learning tool leverages Cognovi Labs semantic intellectual property to be able to automate and extract aggregate meaning from social media chatter including slang in new, more precise ways.Another real example of this that Cognovi Labs recently ran had to do with searching the Twittersphere for sentiment about marijuana legalization policy… trying to understand how people in different areas of the U.S. feel about different legalization stances certain states have taken.The team found that one recurring topic that is part of the discussion is Spice, a synthetic form of marijuana.However, if you just search for the hashtag spice, a majority of social content that comes back is about Pumpkin Spice Lattes.Twitris was able to parse the different statements for more precise meaning and derive analytics.
British Home Secretary Theresa May aims Chairman of the Conservative Party and at the same time as prime minister, says Yle. May informed The Times. Status of the opinion poll According to the newspaper May be worth 55 per cent of the Conservative Party, if the two of May kisaisi the chairmanship of the former mayor of London, Boris Johnson. Johnson's voice catch would be 38 per cent.
Head of opinion polling explains to El RegAnalysis The EU referendum was a catastrophe for opinion pollsters.Banks commissioned their own private polls, and also predicted victory, only to lose billions within hours as the strength of the Leave vote became clear.Intrigued, we invited Luke Taylor, senior associate director of the Methods and Statistics Team at TNS, and the head of opinion polling, to explain why.We also need to get the results out fast.Lastly, polls rely on people accurately telling us about their future behaviour.
From elaborate speeches to ambitious endorsements, from wholesome promises to cutthroat criticisms, we have seen some of the world s most cunning politicians vying for one of the greatest positions of power in the world, the oval office itself.Of course, amidst all this conundrum, it can be truly hard for a regular voter to stay up to date with the latest developments in politics in order to help themselves make the right decision.Winner of a Pulitzer prize for their meticulous work in denouncing false claims made by deceitful or otherwise misinformed politicians, PolitiFact is a website, a blog and an application for Android and iOS devices all rolled into one.Using their one-stop platform accessible through all devices, you can quickly check the validity of any current or previous claims made by politicians, Presidential candidates or otherwise.Of course, the oval office isn t the only thing that makes up the nation, and the Congress has always played a crucial role in determining the future of the country.As such, an informed voter would only naturally want to stay up-to-date with the legislative and political inclination of their favorite Congressional candidates.
A poll out Monday concludes that a majority of Americans disapprove of the FBI's decision not to recommend charges against Hillary Clinton, the Democratic presumptive nominee for president who has been embroiled in a scandal involving her treatment of classified e-mail when she was Secretary of State.Thirty five percent answered that they "approve" of the decision.The poll was conducted July 6-7 of a random sample of 519 adults on landlines and mobile phones.It has a margin of error rating of plus or minus 5 percentage points.In another question, respondents were asked whether "the outcome of this issue made you more likely to support Clinton for president, less likely, or won't it make any difference in your vote?Roughly 58 percent answered "no difference," 28 percent said "less likely, and 10 percent "more likely."
As more Americans have made a mobile phone their main phone, polls that contact only landline phones look increasingly behind the times.HuffPost Pollster has decided we need to evolve.The numbers go even higher for those under age 45 and for minorities.Sixty percent of Hispanic adults don t have a landline at all, and more than two-thirds of Americans between ages 25 and 34 rely solely on a mobile phone.HuffPost Pollster has always sought to base our charts on as many sound polls as possible.As long as a pollster makes a good-faith professional effort to obtain a representative sample of the population, we include the survey s results.
A recent survey conducted by OnePoll reveals that two-thirds of the Windows-based population would consider switching to a Mac due to the privacy concerns over Microsoft s latest platform, Windows 10.The poll arrives just after the French National Data Protection Commission CNIL presented Microsoft with examples late last month of how some of Windows 10 s user data collection is unwarranted.The OnePoll survey questioned 500 individuals in North America and 500 residents in the UK.It asked one simple question: If the controversial collection of user data in Windows 10 that s causing privacy concerns would push them into considering a switch over to Mac.The poll goes on to show that U.K. respondents are more concerned about the Windows 10 data collection than Americans, with 15.2 percent of the U.K. residents polled saying they would definitely consider a switch and 51.8 percent saying maybe.Using the same survey, OnePoll determined how the privacy concerns affect people of various ages.
If you haven t looked at the Internet in a while, Harambe was a gorilla fatally shot by a zookeeper after a toddler fell into his pen, but he s more than that.Upstart analytics firms like Civis and conventional pollsters like PPP, Ipsos, and Pew Research Institute have all been hunting for new, more data-centric ways to uncover the will of the whole public, rather than just the tiny slice willing to answer a random call on their landline.People have tweeted about Donald Trump over 22 million times since the Republican National Convention.So to put the data to use, analysts pull together all of the relevant mentions names and handles are the obvious ones, but hashtags and memes can get parsed, too using boolean search queries, which are basically just keyword searches that use the operators or, and, and not to refine results.Which is why there are whole companies devoted to mining social media text for clues of rising trends, often for marketing and stock research.According to Fabio Rojas, a sociologist at Indiana University who conducted a study correlating Twitter mentions and candidate success, More tweets equals more votes.
His endorsement was the last measurement six percentage points to Hillary Clinton lagging behind.Donald Trump's choice would strengthen the Us dollar and government bonds expected return.His choice seems unlikely, but it is still very possible.Citi analysts team Hillary Clinton will be elected the 60% probability.Brexit then received a slightly lower probability than Trump now.Ten opinion poll averages tell brexit was to go through, but analysts make results adjustments.
As the presidential race gets closer to the November election date, pressures are running high across the pond.Donald Trump has accused Google of manipulating its search results in favour of his Presidential rival, Hillary Clinton.When discussing polling numbers at a rally in Wisconsin earlier this week, Trump mentioned that the search engine was suppressing negative news about the Democratic candidate.The Google poll had us leading Hillary by two points nationwide, said Trump.And that s despite the fact Google s search engine was suppressing the bad news about Hillary Clinton, how about that?Though he wouldn t explain what he meant, in June a video went viral making similar allegations.
But it s become increasingly clear that the person who knows the least about the future is the one that everybody has been turning to for answers about the future of American politics: Nate Silver, the founder of FiveThirtyEight.Nate Silver emerged as Our National Oracle after successfully predicting many of the results in the 2008 election.But as Silver s satirical counterpart, Carl Diggler, has proven time and again, you may as well just be going with gut instinct based on Silver s terrible track record since 2008.The idea that she s a prohibitive, 95 percent-plus favorite is hard to square with polling that has frequently shown 5- or 6-point swings within the span of a couple weeks, given that she only leads by 3 points or so now.Like his unfavorable rating, it is by far the worst of the 106 presidential candidates since 1980 who are in our database.Trump has taken trolling to the next level by being willing to offend members of his own party.
Before Donald Trump won the presidency on Tuesday night, everyone from Nate Silver to The New York Times to CNN predicted a Trump loss—and by sizable margins.The tools that we would normally use to help us assess what happened failed, Trump campaign reporter Maggie Haberman said in the Times.Appearing on MSNBC, Republican strategist Mike Murphy told America that his crystal ball had shattered.This is a case study in limits of data science and statistics, says Anthony Goldbloom, a data scientist who once worked for Australia s Department of Treasury and now runs a Kaggle, a company dedicated to grooming data scientists.The United States only elects a president once every four years, and that s enough time for the world to change significantly.In the months before the election, pollsters can ask people about their intentions, but this is harder than it ever was as Americans move away from old-fashioned landline phones towards cell phones, where laws limit such calls.
Traditional data sampling and analysis methods that worked well for decades suddenly failed during the Presidential election of 2016By around 10 p.m. eastern time on Nov. 8 it was clear that the Presidential election results weren t playing out as expected.Margins everywhere were getting very narrow and soon states regarded as solid for Clinton were being called for Republican Donald J. Trump.By the time I gave up and went to bed about 1 a.m. Nov. 9, it was clear that it was only a matter of time before Trump was declared the winner in enough states to get the 270 electoral votes required to become the next U.S. president.But until Election Day, it wasn t clear just how far off the polling was.There are other factors that affect polling results once the results have been gathered.
Many of the polls forecasted an easy win for Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton in the U.S. presidential election, but we now know their prediction models were flawed.Analysts monitoring the social media activity of both campaigns on the major social media channels saw the outcome of this election coming months ago, and kept talking about the massive silent voter base that was forming around the Republican nominee, said Phil Ross, a social media analyst at Socialbakers.Social media analysts continually sounded the alarm that all of the polls were not reflecting the actual situation on the ground in the pre-election landscape, he added.Clinton outspent Trump on TV ads, set up more field offices, and sent staff to swing states earlier, but Trump simply better leveraged social media to both reach and grow his audience.Of course, at the time, it was unclear that social media engagement would translate into real-world votes that could put Trump in the Oval Office.After all, social media is often home to more passive participation when it comes to key matters – and routinely criticized for it.
MoreIn this Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2016 photo, supporters watch as results come in at the a GOP election party in Cedar Falls, Iowa.Donald Trump s stunning election win came despite prognosticators' overwhelming insistence he would lose and has forced people to question not just political polling, but all the facets of life that are being informed and directed by data.Matthew Putney/The Courier via AP For an American public that relies on data for everything from where to find the best taco to the likely victor in a baseball game, Election Day offered a jarring wake-up: The data was wrong."If 'big data' is not that useful for predicting an election then how much should we be relying on it for predicting civil uprisings in countries where we have an interest or predicting future terror attacks?"asked Patrick Tucker, the author of "The Naked Future: What Happens in a World That Anticipates Your Every Move?"
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