That these debates went on without scrutiny of active US wars is outrageous, writes Defense Priorities fellow Bonnie Kristian.
Joe Biden “should be home and dry” in the United States presidential election even though there is still a “pathway” to victory for Donald Trump, one of the UK’s leading polling gurus has said.Sir John Curtice explained that Trump needs to win several states where Biden is narrowly ahead in state polls, including the likes of Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, to stand any chance of victory.But the Democrat’s leads are more solid than Hillary Clinton’s in 2016 and only one or two battleground states need to fall in Biden’s favour for Trump to be ousted from the presidency, he said.Curtice, who is a politics professor at Strathclyde university and president of the British Polling Council, conceded he does not pay close attention to US polls but was now “casting an eye over what’s going on” before Tuesday’s election.He dismissed suggestions that American pollsters got it wrong in 2016 because they gave Clinton a 3% lead and she eventually won the popular vote by 2%.But he conceded that four years ago polling in Midwest states like Michigan and Wisconsin was “light and patchy in quality, not least because these were not states which were thought to be up for grabs”. However, even looking at the final state polls in 2016, Curtice said a candidate needed to be 6% ahead to be 95% sure of winning any one state.“You could see in 2016 that the numbers were not there for Clinton and you could see how if the cookie crumbled in North Carolina, in Florida, in Pennsylvania, and in the Midwest states that Trump could just do it, which is exactly what happened,” he told the Lords liaison committee.Turning to this year’s election, he went on: “You can still see now a pathway to Trump.“It means certainly winning Pennsylvania, it probably also means winning Wisconsin and or Minnesota, but it also means winning Florida and Texas, Georgia, Arizona and a whole load of other states, many of which have at least Biden narrowly ahead.“So in other words – yes you could see how Trump could still win but many more cookies have to crumble in the right direction for him than had to in 2016 for the pathway to work.“And it only needs one or two of those states not to fall in that direction and Biden should be home and dry.”Related...
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Ghislaine Maxwell was dealt a legal blow this week after a court ordered the release of previously unseen evidence she gave almost five years ago. The British socialite is awaiting trial next year for allegedly procuring teenage girls for Jeffrey Epstein to abuse – charges she denies.A lawyer for Maxwell had argued that the depositions – a term used in the US to refer to transcripts of interviews given as part of a court case – should not be made public, because they are evidence in the criminal case brought against her.They were taken in April and July 2016 in a civil case brought by one of Epstein’s accusers, Virginia Giuffre. The 2016 transcript is among more than 2,000 pages of documents that began to be released last year when an appeals court started unsealing papers from Giuffre’s (since settled) defamation case first brought in 2015.Giuffre has alleged Maxwell recruited her at 17 to be sexually abused from 1999 to 2002.Maxwel has pleaded not guilty and has been held without bail since her early July arrest. If convicted, the 58-year-old could face up to 35 years in prison.Epstein killed himself in a federal jail last year as he awaited trial on sex trafficking charges.Here are some of the things we learned from the unsealed documents. 1) Maxwell says she never saw Epstein engage in sexual activity with childrenMaxwell said: “I never saw any inappropriate under-age activities with Jeffrey ever.” In the transcripts Maxwell also repeatedly denied hiring anyone under the age of 18 for Epstein.She added: “Just for the record, I have never at any time, at any place, in any moment, ever asked Virginia Roberts, or whatever she is called now, to have sex with anybody.”2) Prince Andrew is mentioned by name – but it’s redactedEven though the Duke of York’s name is redacted in the documents, it is surprisingly easy to identify who she was talking about by referencing the documents alphabetical index. Slate reveals other redacted names including former US president Bill Clinton and lawyer Alan Dershowitz. 3) The infamous Prince Andrew ‘puppet’ does existIn her book, Giuffre alleges she was groped by Prince Andrew using a Spitting Image-style puppet of himself at Epstein’s New York home. After debating the exact definition of a puppet, Maxwell concedes: “There was a puppet – not a puppet. I don’t know how would you describe it, really,“Not a puppet – I don’t know how you would describe it. A caricature of [name redacted] that was in Jeffrey’s home.”She added she did not recollect anything occurring as described by the interrogators.4) She doubts the authenticity of a photo of Prince AndrewIn the deposition, Maxwell also cast doubt on the authenticity of a photo showing Andrew with his arm around Giuffre, with Maxwell in the background, purportedly taken at Maxwell’s Mayfair home.Maxwell said the surroundings in the photo looked “familiar”, but also said: “We can’t really establish the photograph and all that,” adding: “I don’t know if that’s true, if that’s a real picture or not.”5) Her bath is ‘too small for sex’Maxwell also denied Giuffre’s claims that she had sex with Andrew in the bathtub at her Mayfair townhouse.“She [Giuffre] then characterised things took place in my bathroom in the bathtub itself,” she said. “The tub is too small for any type of activity whatsoever.”6) She may have travelled with Virginia GiuffreMaxwell told lawyers that she never remembered being on Epstein’s private plane with Giuffre.But flight logs show initials for what appear to be Maxwell, Epstein and Giuffre on a flight from Palm Beach to Teterboro. Maxwell questioned whether the initials “GM” referred to her.Related...
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A couple of days ago, NASA announced that its asteroid-sampling spacecraft OSIRIS-REx successfully collected samples from the surface of asteroid Bennu. NASA has now released a video collected from the SamCam imager board the spacecraft as OSIRIS-REx performed its Touch-And-Go (TAG) maneuver. The series of images in the video shows the spacecraft touchdown on the asteroid surface over 200 million … Continue reading
Cogeco's major shareholder has issued a definitive refusal to the latest takeover bid from Altice USA and Rogers Communications.
Link building anchor text is tricky. Here are a few key things to know to optimize your anchors and avoid search engine penalties.The post Link Building & Anchor Text: 3 Things You Need to Know via @jamarketer appeared first on Search Engine Journal.
To mark the launch of our new manifesto – setting out The Drum’s editorial mission to help readers solve their problems – we’re christening today Solutions Day on thedrum.com. And to set the tone, over the course of 24 hours our team of worldwide journalists will be spotlighting 24 recent examples of times when our industry demonstrated its remarkable talent for solving problems.
Problem: People have no patience for ads, faced with bombardment and retargeting online they're tuning out.
Solution: Marketers need to cut to the chase and, when possible, make consumers feel something in an extremely short window. Take it from Mars.
Mars shares key findings from one of the largest, on-going neuroscience studies in the world. Here’s what you need to know:
Marketers have two seconds to capture consumers' attention in the digital realm.
The key is to draw attention and then create an emotional connection. The two together are the magic formula for triggering impulse purchases.
Don’t trick your customers. Attention too often becomes the element tricking consumers into watching your ads. This will backfire.
You need to strike at peak attention. Otherwise they will forget you.
Don’t forget the art. Science is great but it doesn’t create emotion.
“You don't go to the store with gum on your shopping list,” explains Sorin Patilinet, global consumer marketing insights director at Mars.
“We want to reach as many people as possible to build this memory structure, which will be triggered at the point of purchase, especially since half of our categories are mostly impulse buys like chocolate and gum.”
Read more Problem Solved articles in our Solutions Day hub.
The European Commission recently announced it would aim to cut emissions by the bloc by as much as 55% against 1990 levels until the year 2030. The plans have come under fire because they include not only emissions from fossil fuel burning and cement production, but also CO₂ removal by “carbon sinks” like forests or the soil. Even though the planned legislation does not specify what is meant by “removal”, the possible inclusion of natural carbon sinks has been termed “cheating” by Greenpeace and “games” by the WWF. Are these accusations justified? To understand this, we need to remember that… This story continues at The Next Web
Welcome to Insider Cannabis, where we're bringing you an inside look at the deals, trends, and personalities driving the multibillion-dollar cannabis boom.
Antitrust law has focused on overcharging consumers, but Democrats want to update laws for tech companies that provide free services.